High Risk Of Early Recurrence Research Articles

Abstract PO2-01-11: Demographic, Lifestyle, and Clinical Factors Associated with Early vs. Late Recurrence among Women with Early-Stage Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer in the Prospective Pathways Study

Abstract Background: Although women diagnosed with early-stage estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer generally have a favorable prognosis, they face a lingering risk of late recurrence that can occur years to decades after diagnosis. Relatively little is known about the demographic, lifestyle, or clinical factors associated with the risk of late recurrence, or whether the associations differ between early vs. late recurrence. Methods: We performed a comprehensive analysis of factors related to early vs. late recurrence in early-stage ER-positive breast cancer in the Pathways Study, an established prospective cohort of women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) between 2006 and 2013. Recurrences were identified through monthly searches of the KPNC Cancer Registry, follow-up interviews with participants, and confirmation with electronic medical records. For this analysis, 2,473 women with stage I-IIB, ER-positive breast cancer were included, with ascertainment of recurrence and death through December 31, 2021. Univariate analysis and multivariable Cox regression models were used to examine the factors associated with early (< 5 years since diagnosis) and late (≥ 5 years since diagnosis) recurrence. Results: The median age of diagnosis was 57 (± 10) years, with 35% diagnosed before menopause. While 64% of patients self-reported as White, 16% identified as Asian, 6% Black, 12% Hispanic, and 2% other ethnicity. After a median 13.3 (range: 0.6-16.8) years of follow up, a total of 341 (13.8%) recurrences occurred, with 158 before and 181 at or after 5 years from diagnosis. Approximately a third of recurrences were local or regional and the other two thirds were distant. In univariate analysis, increasing stage and tumor grade were associated with higher risk of both early and late recurrence (p< 0.05). Progesterone receptor (PR) negativity was associated with only early (hazard ratio [HR]=1.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06-2.09) but not late recurrence (HR=0.90, 95% CI 0.63-1.28). In unadjusted models, receiving lumpectomy (vs. mastectomy), chemotherapy, radiation therapy, or endocrine therapy were associated with lower risk of both early and late recurrence. Among the demographic and lifestyle factors examined, postmenopausal status at diagnosis was associated with lower risk of early (HR=0.69, 95% CI 0.51-0.96) but not late recurrence (HR=1.00, 95% CI 0.73-1.36). No association was found with body mass index, socioeconomic measures (education, income, employment, marital status), smoking, alcohol intake, or physical activity assessed at the time close to diagnosis. Notably, minoritized racial/ethnic groups all had higher risk of early recurrence than White women (Asian: HR=1.76, 95% CI 1.16-2.66; Black: HR=2.33, 95% CI 1.38-3.93; Hispanic: HR=1.80, 95% CI 1.15-2.82), but no association was found with late recurrence (Asian: HR=0.99, 95% CI 0.65-1.51; Black: HR=0.80, 95% CI 0.41-1.58; Hispanic: HR=0.80, 95% CI 0.48-1.33). In multivariable Cox models adjusted for age, cancer stage, grade, PR status, surgery, radiation therapy, chemotherapy, and endocrine therapy, the trend of higher risk of early recurrence among minoritized racial/ethnic groups remained, although the association remained significant only in Black women (HR=1.89, 95% CI 1.08-3.31). Conclusion: Most histopathological features and cancer treatment modality had similar impact on early vs. late recurrence among women with early-stage ER-positive breast cancer, although PR negativity might be an adverse risk factor for early recurrence only. The findings of higher risk of early but not late recurrence among Asian, Black, and Hispanic relative to White women provide some novel data on the racial/ethnic disparities of prognosis for ER-positive breast cancer and may warrant further investigation. Citation Format: Alfredo Chua, Haiyang Sheng, Shipra Gandhi, Marilyn Kwan, Isaac Ergas, Janise Roh, Cecile Laurant, Thaer Khoury, Scarlett Gomez, Christine Ambrosone, Lawrence Kushi, Song Yao. Demographic, Lifestyle, and Clinical Factors Associated with Early vs. Late Recurrence among Women with Early-Stage Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer in the Prospective Pathways Study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO2-01-11.

Abstract PO2-15-05: Mesenchymal-like immune-activated: the 4th robust triple-negative breast cancer molecular subtype

Abstract Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) accounts for 15-20% of primary BC. This heterogeneous disease is the most aggressive BC subtype. TNBC is characterized by young age at onset, high-grade tumors, high risk of early recurrence and poor prognosis. Until recently, TNBC patients were considered as one group and all patients were treated with conventional chemotherapy. With the emergence of new therapies targeting distinct biological pathways, personalized medicine is now accessible by defining finer TNBC subtypes, e.g. molecular subtypes, and identifying their specific targetable pathways. Several studies based on transcriptomics have identified three to six TNBC molecular subtypes. Today, there is a clear consensus on three TNBC robust subtypes: luminal androgen receptor (LAR), basal-like immune-activated (BLIA) and basal-like immune-suppressed (BLIS). The debate about the robustness of other subtypes is still open, notably mesenchymal-like (M) and mesenchymal stem-like (MSL or MES). The goal of this study was to establish a robust molecular classification of TNBC that allow to determine the best treatment options. To optimize this process, we harvested as much transcriptomic data as possible. Available clinicopathological data linked to these data were also imported. To our knowledge, this is the largest study aimed at subtyping TNBC; it exploits a total of 1942 TNBC patient data collected from 19 datasets: 1243 samples from microarray technology (14 datasets) and 699 from RNAseq technology (five datasets including a new one from our institution [GSE225002]). We performed independent unsupervised analyses on these two large cohorts with consensus k-means clustering including selection of optimal number of clusters and optimal number of variables. Both consensus clustering analyses separated TNBC microarray and RNAseq TNBC cohorts into four optimal clusters. These clusters were then characterized using clinicopathological features, gene ontology enrichment analyses (GOEA), gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), 70 gene expression signatures (GES) and expression of 47 immune checkpoint genes. We concluded that TNBC are composed of four robust subtypes: LAR, mesenchymal-like immune-activated (MLIA), BLIA and BLIS. Importantly, we propose that MLIA acronym should replace M or MSL, because it highlights the two main biological characteristics of this subtype, i.e. mesenchymal-like features and a high IR comparable to that of BLIA. Furthermore, we showed that each subtype shares common biological characteristics with another one: LAR and MLIA (androgen receptor pathway activation); MLIA and BLIA (immune activation, notably high levels of immune checkpoints); BLIA and BLIS (basal-like features); BLIS and LAR (immune suppression). As regards microarray cohort, LAR included 19.23% (n = 239) of TNBC, MLIA 17.38% (n = 216), BLIA 32.50% (n = 404) and BLIS 30.89% (n = 384). Concerning RNAseq cohort, LAR included 19.60% (n = 137) of TNBC, MLIA 17.31% (n = 121), BLIA 28.47% (n = 199) and BLIS 34.62% (n = 242). Distributions of patients among the four clusters in the two cohorts were similar (p = 0.3583). Distributions were also similar between studies for microarray cohort (p = 0.2479) and RNAseq cohort (p = 0.1775). Pooled data (n = 1942 patients) gave the following distribution: 19.36% for LAR; 17.35% for MLIA; 31.06% for BLIA; 32.23% for BLIS, confirming that TNBC are largely but not exclusively basal-like (63.29%). In brief, according to the TNBC subtype molecular characterisation, anti-androgen therapy could be prescribed for LAR, immune checkpoint inhibitors for MLIA and BLIA, alone or in combination, and TAM-focused and antineurogenic therapies for BLIS. As an extension of this work, TNBC transcriptomic data associated with their clinicopathological features and TNBC subtype annotations were included in bc-GenExMiner v5.0 web tool (http://bcgenex.ico.unicancer.fr). Citation Format: Mario Campone, Pascal Jézéquel, Fadoua Ben Azzouz, Wilfried Gouraud, Agnes Bassevile, Bertrand Michel, Hamza Lasla, Jean Sebastien FRENEL. Mesenchymal-like immune-activated: the 4th robust triple-negative breast cancer molecular subtype [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO2-15-05.

Abstract PO3-03-06: Real-world efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy in Brazilian patients with early-stage triple-negative breast cancer

Abstract Background: Early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is associated with high risk of early recurrence and disease-specific mortality. Studies suggest a sustained clinical benefit in patients with TNBC who have a pathological complete response (PCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). In TNBC, the combination of immunotherapy based on immune checkpoint inhibitors (anti-PD-1/PD-L1) combined with chemotherapy has been shown to be effective both in the advanced and early. In the early-stage setting, the addition of pembrolizumab to platinum-containing NACT significantly increased pathological complete response (pCR). Methods: We performed a retrospective observational cohort study of patients diagnosed with TNBC, stage II-III, who received NACT with chemotherapy based on paclitaxel and carboplatin (TC) followed by doxorubicin plus cyclophosphamide (AC) associated with pembrolizumab, treated from June 2022 to July 2023, at AC Camargo Cancer Center, São Paulo, Brazil. Objectives: To investigate the real-world pCR rate and safety profile of early-stage TNBC treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (weekly TC, ddAC/AC) associated with pembrolizumab and to describe the clinical-pathological characteristics of this population. Results: Eighty patients received neoadjuvant pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy. Around 50.6% of patients were premenopausal, with a median age of 47 years old at diagnosis. About 18% carried a germline mutation in the BRCA1 (50%) .Regarding the pathological characteristics of the tumor, 90.9% were invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC), 80% had histological grade (HG) III, and average Tumor Infiltrating Lymphocytes (TILs) was 18%. In 94.8% of cases, Ki67 was expressed in more 20% of tumor cells. The expression of HER2 was low in 14%, and 5% were ER-low. Regarding the clinical stage of the primary tumor, (64.9%)cT2, (18%) cT3, (10%) cT1c, and (2.5%) cT4. Regarding regional lymph node staging, 48%, 33.7%, 10.3%, and 6.4% were classified as cN0, cN1, cN2a, and cN, respectively. Clinical stage was IIA (42.8%), IIB (24.6%), IIIA (14.2%), IIIB ( 9%), and IIIC (5%). Regarding chemotherapy, 57.1% received dose dense AC, 54% percent had chemotherapy-related toxicity, 35.7% had neutropenic fever, 32.4% required hospitalization, and 31% used antibiotics. 31% received eight cycles of neoadjuvant pembrolizumab and 53.2% of patients completed all NACT, among these patients, 61% had complete .A cutoff date, about 61% of patients have undergone surgery, and 66.6% achieved a complete pathological response (ypT0ypN0). Patients that received eight cycles of neoadjuvant pembrolizumab had a higher chance of pathological complete response rate (61% vs. 45.2%) p=0.073. Immune-related toxicities (IRT) were observed in 16.8% patients, being the most common endocrinologic and cutaneous, being G3 or higher in 46%. About 15.5% used corticosteroids. Fifty percent had already started or completed adjuvant therapy, from which 66.6% received only adjuvant pembrolizumab, 28% had adjuvant pembrolizumab plus capecitabine, 1.2% received adjuvant capecitabine, and 1.2% had adjuvant olaparib. Eight percent of our patients have already completed nine cycles of adjuvant pembrolizumab, 12.7% did not receive adjuvant pembrolizumab due to prior toxicity. In our cohort, we observed greater intercurrences related to ddAC versus conventional AC 61.4% versus 52.4%, p=0.492, therefore, it did not impact whether or not the chemotherapy was completed. Conclusion: Our cohort is composed mostly of pre-menopausal with stage IIA tumors. Most patients received ddAC, Fifty-four percent had chemotherapy-related toxicity. We observed a high rate of pCR (61%) on our patients have already undergone surgery, 66.6% achieved a complete pathological response.Of those who received 8 cycles of neoadjuvant pembrolizumab had a higher chance of pathological complete response rate (61% vs. 45.2%) p=0.073 Citation Format: isadora sousa, Ana Carolina M. Comini, Italo BORGES, Flavia C. Balint, Livia alexandre Martins, Debora G. Sousa, Solange M. Sanches, Marcelle G. Cesca, Vladmir Cordeiro de Lima, Monique Tavares. Real-world efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy in Brazilian patients with early-stage triple-negative breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO3-03-06.

Prognostic factors associated with early recurrence following liver resection for colorectal liver metastases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundColorectal cancer (CRC) is the 3rd most common malignancy with the liver being the most common site of metastases. The recurrence rate of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) after liver resection (LR) is notably high, with an estimated 40% of patients experiencing recurrence within 6 months. In this context, we conducted a meta-analysis to synthesize and evaluate the reliability of evidence pertaining to prognostic factors associated with early recurrence (ER) in CRLM following LR.MethodsSystematic searches were conducted from the inception of databases to July 14, 2023, to identify studies reporting prognostic factors associated with ER. The Quality in Prognostic Factor Studies (QUIPS) tool was employed to assess risk-of-bias for included studies. Meta-analysis was then performed on these prognostic factors, summarized by forest plots. The grading of evidence was based on sample size, heterogeneity, and Egger’s P value.ResultsThe study included 24 investigations, comprising 12705 individuals, during an accrual period that extended from 2007 to 2023. In the evaluation of risk-of-bias, 22 studies were rated as low/moderate risk, while two studies were excluded because of high risk. Most of the studies used a postoperative interval of 6 months to define ER, with 30.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24.1–36.4%) of the patients experiencing ER following LR. 21 studies were pooled for meta-analysis. High-quality evidence showed that poor differentiation of CRC, larger and bilobar-distributed liver metastases, major hepatectomy, positive surgical margins, and postoperative complications were associated with an elevated risk of ER. Additionally, moderate-quality evidence suggested that elevated levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19–9 (CA199), lymph node metastases (LNM) of CRC, and a higher number of liver metastases were risk factors for ER.ConclusionThis review has the potential to enhance the efficacy of surveillance strategies, refine prognostic assessments, and guide judicious treatment decisions for CRLM patients with high risk of ER. Additionally, it is essential to undertake well-designed prospective investigations to examine additional prognostic factors and develop salvage therapeutic approaches for ER of CRLM.

O138: Predictors of early recurrence of oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma after neoadjuvant FLOT

Abstract Background Although survival of patients with oesophagogastric adenocarcinomas has improved over the years, rates of cancer recurrence remain high. There is limited research on predictors for early recurrence (ER), especially in patients receiving FLOT chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to investigate ER and survival rates and identify risk factors of ER. Methods Patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy with FLOT for oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma at single high-volume centre between August 2018 and October 2022 were evaluated for early recurrence defined as disease present within 1 year of surgery. Multivariable analysis was conducted to identify risk factors for ER. Patients who died in-hospital or within 90 days of surgery and those with positive longitudinal margin were excluded. Results 169 patients were included. 92.9% and 41.4% of patients completed all four neoadjuvant and adjuvant cycles of FLOT respectively. 51 patients (30.2%) developed recurrence in the follow up period with 24 patients (14.2%) having ER. Recurrence free survival and overall survival at one year were 84.1% and 91.7% respectively. The estimated median survival after recurrence was 4.8 months. Extracapsular spread was found to be independent risk factor for ER (OR 6.507, 95% CI 1.964-21.556, p=0.002) in multivariable analyses together with ypN3 stage (OR 7.204, 95% CI 1.118-46.403, p=0.038). Conclusions The variables identified in this study may be helpful in determining patients at a higher risk of ER following curative surgery. Understanding these predictors may help tailor the follow up care of these patients, such as regular surveillance imaging, treatment, and frequency of reviews.

The Role of Ki-67 in HR+/HER2- Breast Cancer: A Real-World Study of 956 Patients.

This study determined the cut-off value of Ki-67 expression and discussed the interaction between Ki-67 and histological grade, further explored the prognostic role of Ki-67 in hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer;. We assessed the Ki-67 expression of 956 patients with HR+/HER2 breast cancer diagnosed in the General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from 2015 to 2019 by immunohistochemistry (IHC), The disease-free survival (DFS) was defined as the time from postoperative to the first local recurrence, distant metastasis or death of the disease. The follow-up by means of inpatient or outpatient medical records and telephone. 22.5% was used as the cut-off for low/high Ki-67 expression in HR+/HER2- breast cancer. Compared with the value of 14%, which is commonly used in clinic at present, the consistency of the two values is moderate (Kappa = 0.484, P<0.001). The expression of Ki-67 was increased with the grade. (Median: G1:10%; G2:20%; G3:40%. Mean: G1:13%; G2:23%; G3:39%, P <0.001). Survival analysis was based on all patients for a median of 51 months (24-89 months), 63 cases had recurrence or metastasis during the follow-up, which 21 cases had low expression of Ki-67 and 42 cases had high expression. The patients with Ki-67 ≥ 22.5% had a 2.969 higher risk of early recurrence and metastasis than the patients with Ki-67 < 22.5%. There were 4 cases of local recurrence, 7 cases of regional lymph node metastasis, and 52 cases of distant metastasis in all patients, the common distant metastases were bone, liver, and lung, and rare metastases were adrenal gland, bone marrow, and pericardium. In HR+/HER2- breast cancer, patients with Ki-67 > 22.5% have a worse prognosis and are more likely to have early recurrence and metastasis.

Potential Value of HSP90α in Prognosis of Triple-Negative Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is a distinct subtype of breast cancer, accounting for 12-18% of all breast cancer cases. It exhibits high heterogeneity and aggressiveness, resulting in a poorer prognosis with a high risk of early recurrence and metastasis. Due to the lack of expression of estrogen receptors (ER), progesterone receptors (PR), and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2), as well as insensitivity to endocrine therapy, determining a standard treatment for TNBC is challenging. The identification of potential prognostic biomarkers is crucial for developing personalized treatment strategies for patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS Our study investigated the potential value of HSP90a in TNBC prognosis. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 127 TNBC patients and 127 Healthy controls from March 1, 2019 to July 31, 2022. Venous blood was collected and tested for HSP90alpha, CEA, CA199, and CA125, and we recorded the clinical characteristics of the patients, including age, BMI, alcohol consumption status, surgical history, CEA level, CA199 level, CA125 level, HSP90alpha level, tumor size, distant metastases, lymph node metastasis, and TNM stage. Univariate and multivariate methods were used to screen independent risk factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS HSP90alpha is not only upregulated in TNBC but is also highly correlated with lymph node metastasis and TNM stage. The results of multivariate analysis showed that distant metastasis, TNM stage and HSP90a level were independent factors associated with PFS. BMI, tumor size, TNM stage, surgical history, and HSP90a level were independent factors influencing OS. CONCLUSIONS Our research findings demonstrate a significant association between high HSP90alpha expression and adverse clinical features, suggesting a poorer prognosis for TNBC patients.

Abstract TMP72: Impaired Perfusion Predicts Early Recurrence in Symptomatic Intracranial Atherosclerosis

Background: Intracranial Atherosclerosis (ICAS) leads to stroke by perforator disease, artery to artery embolism, and impaired distal flow/perfusion. While medical treatment is likely to stabilize atherosclerotic plaques, it is unlikely to improve distal perfusion in the acute setting. We hypothesize that medically treated patients with symptomatic ICAS with impaired perfusion have a high risk of recurrence. Methods: We included hospitalized patients with acute ischemic stroke due to ICAS involving the intracranial ICA, proximal MCA, intracranial vertebral artery, or basilar artery over a 3 year period. Patients were treated with medical treatment and followed for 30-days post stroke. Patients generally underwent perfusion imaging with MRI. The study outcome is recurrent ischemic stroke. We used univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses to determine the association between risk factors, treatment strategies, perfusion delay at T max 4 sec and 6 sec thresholds. To account for multiple admissions per patient, we used robust variance estimator clustering on individual patients. Results: Over the study period, we identified 96 hospitalizations for symptomatic ICAD over 3 years. The recurrence risk within 30 days was 17.7% (17/96). In univariate analysis, factors associated with recurrent risk at 30 days were lack of dual antiplatelet therapy (47.1% versus 22.8%, P=0.068), increased Tmax perfusion mismatch volume as 6 sec (10[0-51] versus 0[0-0], P=0.008) and at 4 sec (60[37-170] versus 13.5[0-91], P=0.050). Using Youden’s index, we identified cutoffs of 6.5 ml and 35.5 ml for Tmax 6 sec mismatch and Tmax 4 sec mismatch respectively. In Cox regression analyses, only predictors of recurrence were T max 6 sec perfusion mismatch &gt; 6.5 ml (aHR 6.72 95% CI 2.01-22.45 p=0.002) and T max 4 sec perfusion mismatch &gt; 35.5 ml (aHR 5.78 95% CI 1.53-21.81 p=0.010). Dual antiplatelet therapy was not associated with reduced recurrence risk (p&gt;0.05) in all models. Conclusions: Patient with symptomatic ICAS and impaired distal perfusion are at high risk of early recurrence. Studies testing reperfusion should focus on this subgroup and enroll patients early, when the risk of recurrence in medically treated patients is highest and likely driven by reperfusion.

Abstract TMP66: Ipsilateral Carotid Web is Associated With Higher Risk of Recurrent Stroke in Patients With Large Vessel Occlusion Undergoing Thrombectomy

Introduction: Carotid artery webs are a rare cause of embolic stroke of undetermined source, especially among the young without conventional risk factors. However, despite its detriment, the rate of stroke recurrence is not well studied. We aimed to understand the likelihood of stroke recurrence in patients with a confirmed symptomatic carotid web. Methods: We analyzed data from adult patients admitted with anterior large vessel occlusion at Rhode Island Hospital from July 2015 to March 2023. The assessment of carotid webs was conducted by a group of endovascular neurosurgeons and vascular neurologists by reviewing the vessel imaging. Any identified carotid webs on vascular imaging were reviewed by an independent vascular neurologist for adjudication. Chi square and fisher’s exact tests were used for the comparison of groups. After adjusting for age, admission NIHSS, known atrial fibrillation, and site of occlusion, multivariate logistic regression modeling was performed for in-hospital recurrence ischemic stroke. Results: Of the 1225 patients with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion, 22(1.80%) had ipsilateral carotid artery web. Patients with carotid web were younger than those without carotid web (73% &lt;65 years). Patients with ipsilateral carotid web had a higher risk of recurrent stroke compared to those without ipsilateral carotid web (OR 3.35, 95% CI,1.043373-10.7041, p = 0.042). Conclusion: Carotid webs are an under recognized cause of acute large vessel occlusion and are associated with higher risk of early recurrence. Studies are needed to validate our findings and test early revascularization strategies in patients with symptomatic carotid artery webs.

High risk of early recurrent stroke in patients with near-occlusion with full collapse of the internal carotid artery.

We aimed to validate the prognostic ability and assess interrater reliability of a recently suggested measurement-based definition of near-occlusion with full collapse (distal ICA diameter ≤ 2.0mm and/or ICA ratio ≤ 0.42). 118 consecutive patients with symptomatic near-occlusion were prospectively included and assessed on computed tomography angiography by 2 blinded observers, 26 (22%) had full collapse. At 2days after presenting event, the risk of preoperative stroke was 3% for without full collapse and 16% for with full collapse (p = 0.01). At 28days, this risk was 16% for without full collapse and 22% for with full collapse (p = 0.22). Interrater reliability was perfect (kappa 1.0). Thus, near-occlusion with full collapse should be defined as distal ICA ≤ 2.0mm and/or ICA ratio ≤ 0.42 in order to detect cases with very high risk of early stroke recurrence.

Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Treated with Combined Liver Resection, Cytoreductive Surgery, and Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy (HIPEC): Predictive Factors for Early Recurrence.

Selection of colorectal cancer patients with concomitant peritoneal (PM) and liver metastases (LM) for radical treatment with cytoreductive surgery (CRS), including liver resection and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC), needs improvement. This retrospective, monocentric study was designed to evaluate the predictive factors for early recurrence, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) in such patients treated in a referral center. Consecutive colorectal cancer patients with concomitant LM and PM treated with curative intent with perioperative systemic chemotherapy, simultaneous complete CRS, liver resection, and HIPEC in 2011-2022 were included. Clinical, radiological (before and after preoperative chemotherapy), surgical, and pathological data were investigated, along with long-term oncologic outcomes. A multivariate analysis was performed to identify predictive factors associated with early recurrence (diagnosed <6 months after surgery), DFS, and OS. Of more than 61 patients included, 31 (47.1%) had pT4 and 27 (40.9%) had pN2 primary tumors. Before preoperative chemotherapy, the median number of LM was 2 (1-4). The median surgical PCI (peritoneal carcinomatosis index) was 3 (5-8.5). The median DFS and OS were 8.15 (95% confidence interval [CI] 5.5-10.1) and 34.1 months (95% CI 28.1-53.5), respectively. In multivariate analysis, pT4 (odds ratio [OR] = 4.14 [1.2-16.78], p = 0.032]) and pN2 (OR = 3.7 [1.08-13.86], p = 0.042) status were independently associated with an early recurrence, whereas retroperitoneal lymph node metastasis (hazard ratio [HR] = 39 [8.67-175.44], p < 0.001) was independently associated with poor OS. In colorectal cancer patients with concomitant PM and LM, an advanced primary tumor (pT4 and/or pN2) was associated with a higher risk of early recurrence following a radical multimodal treatment, whereas RLN metastases was strongly detrimental for OS.

A Prediction Model for Early Recurrence after Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in Patients with CMML: A Nationwide Representative Multicenter Study

Introduction: Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a clonal hematopoietic stem cell malignancy. Some patients experience prolonged remission after aggressive chemotherapy, but the only current therapy with proven curative potential is allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). However, not all CMML patients benefit from allo-HSCT, and many experience relapse. Relapse is the leading cause of treatment failure for CMML treated with allo-HSCT, and treatment options for patients relapsing after allo-HSCT are limited. This study conducted a nationwide multicenter real-world study to identify risk factors and develop a novel prediction model for early recurrence in CMML patient posttransplantation. Clinicians can improve the survival of CMML patients with a high risk of early recurrence by intervening as early as possible. Methods: Patients ≥18 years old with CMML treated with allo-HSCT for the first time between 2005 and 2022 were included in this nationwide, multicenter, real-world study. Twenty-seven medical centers participated in this analysis, including the derivation cohort from 26 centers and the validation cohort from another center. Information collected included demographic and clinical characteristics, previous treatments and responses, and allo-HSCT treatment details. We first calculated the univariable association of each variable with 1-year relapse in the derivation cohort. Second, the variables with p values less than 0.1 in the univariate analysis were further included as candidate predictors in the multivariate analysis using a backward stepwise logistic regression model. The variables that remained in the final model based on the outcomes of the multivariate analysis in the derivation cohort were identified as independent prognostic factors. A scoring system to predict early recurrence after allo-HSCT was also established, and scores were assigned to the prognostic factors based on the regression coefficient. Results: Using multivariable logistic regression methods with stepwise variable selection, two highly significant independent prognostic factors for the early recurrence of CMML posttransplantation were identified: bone marrow blast cell count at diagnosis (p=0.026; odds ratio [OR], 1.149; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.30), and leukocyte count pretransplantation (p=0.005; odds ratio [OR], 1.212; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.39). A risk grading model was constructed according to the regression coefficients. Bone marrow blast cell count 0-5% is 0 point, 5%-10% is 1 point; 10-20% is 2 points, and &amp;gt;20% is 3 points. Leukocyte count 0-10×10 9/L is 0 point, 10-20×10 9/L is 2 points, and &amp;gt;20 ×10 9/L is 4 points. The points scored for each of these two factors were added to yield the overall risk score, which ranged from zero to seven. Patients were stratified into a low-risk group (0-1 point), a intermediate-risk group (2-3 points) and a high-risk group (4-7 points). The validated internal c-statistic was 0.790 (95% CI, 0.657-0.923), and the external c-statistic was 0.710 (95% CI, 0.580-0.840). The early recurrence rates of the derivation cohort in the low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups were 5.9%, 17.9% and 31.8% (p&amp;lt;0.05). The Kaplan‒Meier estimations of relapse-free survival revealed good separation between these risk groups, and 91.9%, 79.4% and 66.1% (p&amp;lt;0.05), respectively. According to the calibration plots, the model-predicted probabilities showed a good correlation with the actual observed frequencies. Decision curve analysis indicated that the clinical implementation of the prognostic model could benefit early recurrence CMML patients. Conclusion: CMML patients who relapse after allo-HSCT have a poor prognosis. An integrated prediction model based on clinical biomarkers was developed and externally validated, and this is the first straightforward scoring model that incorporates clinical and laboratory risk factors to evaluate the early recurrence of CMML patients after receiving allo-HSCT. This model can be effectively utilized to help improve the survival and prognosis of CMML patients by accelerating the early identification of patients at a high risk of relapse and contributing to the appropriate implementation of urgent medical support.

Implications of starting antiepileptic treatment prior to electroencephalography in first epileptic seizures

IntroductionThis study aimed to determine whether the administration of antiepileptic drugs (AED) alters the likelihood of detecting epileptiform abnormalities in electroencephalographies (EEG) performed early after a first epileptic seizure. MethodsWe performed a retrospective, observational study including patients with a first seizure attended at our centre’s emergency department between July 2014 and November 2019. We collected clinical data, as well as technical data on the acquisition and interpretation of the EEG performed within the first 72 hours after the seizure, and the factors related with seizure recurrence. ResultsWe recruited 155 patients with a mean (SD) age of 48.6 (22.5) years; 61.3% were men. Regarding seizure type, 51% presented tonic-clonic seizures of unknown onset and 12% presented focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures. Thirty-nine patients (25.2%) received AED treatment before the EEG was performed: 33 received a non-benzodiazepine AED and 6 received a benzodiazepine. Epileptiform abnormalities were observed in 29.7% of patients. Previous administration of AEDs was not significantly associated with the probability of detecting interictal epileptiform abnormalities (P = .25) or with the risk of recurrence within 6 months (P = .63). ConclusionsAdministration of AEDs before an early EEG following a first seizure does not decrease the likelihood of detecting epileptiform abnormalities. These findings suggest that starting AED treatment immediately in patients with a high risk of early recurrence does not imply a reduction in the diagnostic accuracy of the test.

Novel Therapeutic Approaches to Prevent Atherothrombotic Ischemic Stroke in Patients with Carotid Atherosclerosis.

Atherothrombotic stroke represents approximately 20% of all ischemic strokes. It is caused by large-artery atherosclerosis, mostly in the internal carotid artery, and it is associated with a high risk of early recurrence. After an ischemic stroke, tissue plasminogen activator is used in clinical practice, although it is not possible in all patients. In severe clinical situations, such as high carotid stenosis (≥70%), revascularization by carotid endarterectomy or by stent placement is carried out to avoid recurrences. In stroke prevention, the pharmacological recommendations are based on antithrombotic, lipid-lowering, and antihypertensive therapy. Inflammation is a promising target in stroke prevention, particularly in ischemic strokes associated with atherosclerosis. However, the use of anti-inflammatory strategies has been scarcely studied. No clinical trials are clearly successful and most preclinical studies are focused on protection after a stroke. The present review describes novel therapies addressed to counteract inflammation in the prevention of the first-ever or recurrent stroke. The putative clinical use of broad-spectrum and specific anti-inflammatory drugs, such as monoclonal antibodies and microRNAs (miRNAs) as regulators of atherosclerosis, will be outlined. Further studies are necessary to ascertain which patients may benefit from anti-inflammatory agents and how.

The role of natural killer cell activity as a milestone in oncologic outcome after curative resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

The objective of this study was to investigate differences in oncologic outcomes of patients with pancreas cancer according to natural killer cell activity (NKA). A total of 118 patients who underwent curative resection for primary pancreas cancer in two hospitals were analyzed. NKA change pattern was analyzed. Difference in disease-free survival or overall survival was investigated by dividing subjects into two groups based on a normal NKA value for each period. NKA value decreased after surgery compared to the value measured at admission. It recovered to normal levels at 5 weeks postoperatively. The low NKA (less than 250 pg/mL) group at admission, 5 weeks postoperatively, and before 1st chemotherapy had significantly poorer disease-free survival than the normal NKA group. In multivariate analysis, NKA values less than 250 pg/mL at admission (odds ratio = 2.267, p = 0.023) and N 1 or N2 category (odds ratio = 2.478, p = 0.023) were significant factors associated with recurrence after curative resection. NKA in patients with pancreatic cancer demonstrated noticeable changes after surgery. Immunologically predisposed patients with a low NKA value had a high risk of early recurrence and a poor prognosis, although pancreatic cancer was surgically removed.

Risk factors for early recurrence in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma who underwent curative resection

BackgroundPancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most lethal cancers, and surgical resection is the only potentially curative approach. However, the rate of recurrence remains high, particularly within the first 6 months, and is associated with a poor prognosis. The present study evaluated the clinical characteristics and risk factors for early recurrence in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients who underwent curative resection, regardless of the use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, to identify predictive factors associated with early recurrence and poor outcomes as well as to determine the optimal treatment strategy for patients at high risk of early recurrence after surgical resection.MethodsPatients who underwent pancreatic resection for PDAC at our institution from 2013 to 2021 were included in this study. We investigated the clinicopathological features of patients in groups: those with recurrence within 6 months, recurrence between 6 and 12 months, and recurrence beyond 12 months or no recurrence. A logistic regression analysis identified covariates associated with early recurrence at 6 and 12 months.ResultsThe study included 403 patients with a median follow-up of 25.7 months. Recurrence was observed in 279 patients, with 14.6% recurring within 6 months, 23.3% within 6–12 months, and 62% after 12 months or not at all. The preoperative CA19-9 level, modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), and positive peritoneal cytology were significant risk factors for early recurrence within 6 months, while positive peritoneal cytology, lymph node metastasis, and the absence of adjuvant chemotherapy were significant risk factors for recurrence within 12 months. For patients who received preoperative chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy, the preoperative CA19-9 level, mGPS, and positive peritoneal cytology were significant independent risk factors for early recurrence within 6 months, while positive peritoneal cytology, lymph node metastasis, and the absence of adjuvant chemotherapy were significant independent risk factors for recurrence within 12 months. The study concluded that the overall survival after surgical resection for potentially resectable PDAC worsened according to the number of risk factors present in the patient.ConclusionsWe clarified that preoperative CA19-9, positive peritoneal cytology, and the lack of adjuvant chemotherapy were consistent predictors for early recurrence within 6 and 12 months. In addition, an increased number of risk factors affecting the patient was associated with a poorer overall survival after potentially curable resection. Calculating the number of risk factors for early recurrence may be an essential predictive factor when considering treatment strategies.

What Imaging Modality Is More Effective in Predicting Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatectomy Using Radiomics Analysis: CT or MRI or Both?

Background: It is of great importance to predict the early recurrence (ER) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy using preoperative imaging modalities. Nevertheless, no comparative studies have been conducted to determine which modality, CT or MRI with radiomics analysis, is more effective. Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 119 HCC patients who underwent preoperative CT and MRI. A total of 3776 CT features and 4720 MRI features were extracted from the whole tumor. The minimum redundancy and maximum relevance algorithm (MRMR) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were applied for feature selection, then support vector machines (SVMs) were applied for model construction. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was employed to construct combined models that integrate clinical–radiological–pathological (CRP) traits and radscore. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to compare the efficacy of CT, MRI, and CT and MRI models in the test cohort. Results: The CT model and MRI model showed no significant difference in the prediction of ER in HCC patients (p = 0.911). RadiomicsCT&amp;MRI demonstrated a superior predictive performance than either RadiomicsCT or RadiomicsMRI alone (p = 0.032, 0.039). The combined CT and MRI model can significantly stratify patients at high risk of ER (area under the curve (AUC) of 0.951 in the training set and 0.955 in the test set) than the CT model (AUC of 0.894 and 0.784) and the MRI model (AUC of 0.856 and 0.787). DCA demonstrated that the CT and MRI model provided a greater net benefit than the models without radiomics analysis. Conclusions: No significant difference was found in predicting the ER of HCC between CT models and MRI models. However, the multimodal radiomics model derived from CT and MRI can significantly improve the prediction of ER in HCC patients after resection.

Catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in patients with autoimmune disease: A propensity score matching study based on the China Atrial Fibrillation Registry.

Evidence on outcomes of catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with autoimmune disease (AD) is limited. Patients with AD had worse outcomes after CA procedures for AF. A retrospective analysis was performed in patients undergoing AF ablation between 2012 and 2021. The risk of recurrence after ablation was investigated in patients with AD and a 1:4 propensity score matched non-AD group. We identified 107 patients with AD (64 ± 10 years, female 48.6%) who were matched with 428 non-AD patients (65 ± 10 years, female 43.9%). Patients with AD exhibited more severe AF-related symptoms. During the index procedure, a higher proportion of AD patients received nonpulmonary vein trigger ablation (18.7% vs. 8.4%, p = 0.002). Over a median follow-up of 36.3 months, patients with AD experienced a similar risk of recurrence with the non-AD group (41.1% vs. 36.2%, p = 0.21, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.23, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.86-1.76) despite a higher incidence of early recurrences (36.4% vs. 13.5%, p = 0.001). Compared with non-AD patients, patients with connective tissue disease were at an increased risk of recurrence (46.3% vs. 36.2%, p = 0.049, HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.00-2.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the duration of AF history and corticosteroid therapy were independent predictors of postablation recurrence in patients with AD. In patients with AD, the risk of recurrence after ablation for AF during the follow-up was comparable with non-AD patients, but a higher risk of early recurrence was observed. Further research into the impact of AD on AF treatment is warranted.

Saline bladder infusion vs standard catheter removal in patients with acute urinary retention related to benign prostatic hyperplasia: The BLAPERF Study.

Bladder infusion, which involves filling the bladder with saline prior to catheter removal, has been associated with reduced time-to-discharge and increased success rates in trials without catheter (TWOCs) in perioperative setting. The objective of this study was to evaluate the applicability of this protocol in patients with acute urinary retention (AUR) related to benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). We conducted a retrospective single-center study comparing bladder infusion with at least 150mL of warm saline vs. standard catheter removal during TWOC in patients with BPH-related AUR between January and December 2021. The primary outcome was time to discharge. Secondary outcomes included: TWOC success, and early recurrence of urinary retention defined as recurrence within three months of successful TWOC. A total of 75 men were included: 35 in the bladder infusion protocol and 40 in the standard protocol. Baseline characteristics were well balanced between groups. Overall, 35patients (46.7%) had a successful TWOC without statistically significant difference between groups (P=0.10). Bladder infusion protocol was associated with a shorter median time to discharge (200 vs. 240min, P=0.003). However, patients in the bladder infusion group were associated with a higher risk of early recurrence of urinary retention (30% vs. 0%, P=0.02). In patients with BPH-related AUR, the saline bladder infusion method reduced time-to-discharge with similar TWOC success rates. Larger studies are needed to properly analyze the risk of early recurrence of urinary retention before any clinical application. III.

Fabrication of Poly Dopamine@poly (Lactic Acid-Co-Glycolic Acid) Nanohybrids for Cancer Therapy via a Triple Collaboration Strategy.

Breast cancer is a common malignant tumor among women and has a higher risk of early recurrence, distant metastasis, and poor prognosis. Systemic chemotherapy is still the most widely used treatment for patients with breast cancer. However, unavoidable side effects and acquired resistance severely limit the efficacy of treatment. The multi-drug combination strategy has been identified as an effective tumor therapy pattern. In this investigation, we demonstrated a triple collaboration strategy of incorporating the chemotherapeutic drug doxorubicin (DOX) and anti-angiogenesis agent combretastatin A4 (CA4) into poly(lactic-co-glycolic acid) (PLGA)-based co-delivery nanohybrids (PLGA/DC NPs) via an improved double emulsion technology, and then a polydopamine (PDA) was modified on the PLGA/DC NPs' surface through the self-assembly method for photothermal therapy. In the drug-loaded PDA co-delivery nanohybrids (PDA@PLGA/DC NPs), DOX and CA4 synergistically induced tumor cell apoptosis by interfering with DNA replication and inhibiting tumor angiogenesis, respectively. The controlled release of DOX and CA4-loaded PDA@PLGA NPs in the tumor region was pH dependent and triggered by the hyperthermia generated via laser irradiation. Both in vitro and in vivo studies demonstrated that PDA@PLGA/DC NPs enhanced cytotoxicity under laser irradiation, and combined therapeutic effects were obtained when DOX, CA4, and PDA were integrated into a single nanoplatform. Taken together, the present study demonstrates a nanoplatform for combined DOX, CA4, and photothermal therapy, providing a potentially promising strategy for the synergistic treatment of breast cancer.